The decline in the disease in Ukraine is due in May.
Probable timing of the end of the pandemic was modeled by a team of scientists from the University of Singapore Data-Driven Development Lab.
The study covers 87 countries, including Ukraine. Scientists are convinced that the incidence in Ukraine will decline in the coming days (given the data as of April 27). By May 17, 97% of those infected must recover, by May 20 – 99%, and all 100% by July 2.
In the whole world, the situation will last for another half a year: by May 30, 97% have to recover and 100% by December 1.
This data is updated daily, so schedules are dynamic. During the forecasting, the SIR model created takes into account the infected and recovered data at separate intervals. Intensity of contacts between people is also taken into account.
2 weeks later, the Cabinet of Ministers introduced an emergency regime throughout Ukraine and extended the quarantine for a month – until April 24. April 3 quarantine strengthened: imposed mandatory 14-day observation for people arriving from abroad, forbidden to move on the streets of more than two persons, except in cases of escorting children. April 22 quarantine extended until May 11.
In Ukraine, March 3 recorded the first case of COVID-19 coronavirus infection. The resident of Chernivtsi region was infected. It wasn’t long before returned with his wife from Italy. On the evening of March 12 in Ukraine, two more cases of coronavirus infection have been officially confirmed. Infections were recorded in Chernivtsi and Zhytomyr regions. A woman from Zhytomyr region died of infection, becoming the first the victim of COVID-19 in Ukraine.
After that about detection of coronavirus began to report in other areas. The epicenters of the outbreak in Ukraine have become the Chernivtsi region and the city of Kiev, where the disease is diagnosed the most. For the latest news on the spread of coronavirus in Ukraine, the number of patients and fatal cases, as well as the means of fighting COVID-19, visit the website TSN.ua.
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